Quick answer 1
How long will my investment last?
Use this for questions such as: “How long will $500,000 last if I withdraw $40,000 once a year and earn 7%?”
Year-by-year path
Investment balance after withdrawals
See the annual balance, return, and withdrawal table
| Year | Opening | Gross withdrawal taken | Investment growth | Ending |
|---|
Quick answer 2
How much could my 401(k) or investment grow?
Focus on one account during the saving years. Separate your own contributions from the investment growth.
Saving years
Balance versus money contributed
See the annual contribution and growth table
| Year | Opening | Contributions | Investment growth | Ending |
|---|
Quick answer 3
Can savings carry me from early retirement to Social Security?
Model the savings-only years first, then the handoff to one or two Social Security checks. Compare all claim ages from 62 through 70.
What this bridge estimate assumes
- One accessible portfolio earning the same return every year; taxes are not deducted from withdrawals here.
- Social Security follows the same rules as the claiming tab; the earnings test and detailed account access rules are in the full plan.
Savings-to-income handoff
Portfolio before and after Social Security
Compare the leading claiming-age combinations
| Rank | Claim age(s) | Savings used before first check | First shortfall | Ending balance |
|---|
Quick answer 4
When should each person claim Social Security?
Enter the monthly benefit payable at full retirement age. The calculator compares ages 62–70 separately for each spouse and includes potential spouse and survivor effects.
What this comparison does and does not model
- Included: age reductions and delayed credits, spousal top-ups under deemed filing, survivor benefits with the widow(er)’s limit (82.5% of PIA floor) and inherited delayed credits, annual COLA, and the Trustees stress case.
- Not included: the earnings test (use the full plan), child-in-care and family-maximum rules, divorced-spouse and disability benefits, government pension offsets, and the January 1 birthday rule. Confirm any decision with an official SSA estimate.
Benefit by claiming age
Monthly own retirement benefit from 62 to 70
Compare the leading lifetime-benefit combinations
| Rank | Claim age(s) | Lifetime benefits | Survivor-period benefits | Difference vs selected |
|---|
Quick answer 5
How much can I safely spend each year?
Compare the classic 4% rule with three alternatives on the same portfolio and the same market sequence. Every strategy takes its withdrawal at the start of each year, then the balance earns that year’s return.
What this comparison assumes
- Withdrawals are taken at the start of each year and are before tax; a stylized return sequence stands in for real markets.
- Choose the historical sequence to replay a real start year, or use the backtest tab to test every start year at once.
Today’s dollars
Portfolio balance under each strategy
Today’s dollars
Annual income under each strategy
Compare the four strategies
| Strategy | Lasts | Lowest real income | Average real income | Ending balance (today’s $) |
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See the year-by-year table for the selected strategy
| Year | Age | Opening | Return | Withdrawal | Rate | In today’s $ | Ending | Adjustment |
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Quick answer 6
What is my required minimum distribution?
Enter the total in traditional IRAs, 401(k)s, 403(b)s, and similar tax-deferred accounts. The calculator applies the SECURE 2.0 start ages and the IRS Uniform Lifetime Table.
Situations this calculator does not cover
- A spouse who is the sole beneficiary and more than 10 years younger (the Joint Life and Last Survivor table gives a larger divisor and a smaller RMD).
- Inherited IRAs and 401(k)s (10-year rule or Single Life table).
- The still-working exception for a current employer’s plan, and the rule that 401(k) RMDs cannot be aggregated with IRA RMDs.
- Qualified charitable distributions (up to $111,000 in 2026) that satisfy the RMD without adding taxable income.
- Roth 401(k) balances, which have no lifetime RMD.
Nominal dollars
Balance and required distribution by age
See the year-by-year RMD table
| Year | Age | Prior year-end balance | Divisor | RMD | Share | Tax at entered rate | Ending balance |
|---|
Quick answer 7
Should I convert to a Roth, and how much?
Estimate 2026 federal tax for a retiree household, see how much of Social Security becomes taxable, find the room left in your bracket and under the next Medicare IRMAA tier, and test the true marginal cost of a conversion.
True marginal cost
Tax rate on each additional $2,500 converted
Spikes above the bracket rate are the “tax torpedo”: each extra dollar also drags more Social Security into taxable income, and can phase out the senior deduction or push qualified gains from 0% to 15%.
What makes up the marginal cost of the entered conversion
| Component | Extra tax |
|---|
Compare conversion amounts
| Convert | Extra tax now | Average rate | Bracket reached | 2028 IRMAA tier (per person) | Advantage vs. waiting |
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See the full tax calculation
| Line | Amount |
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2026 Medicare IRMAA tiers for this filing status (2026 MAGI sets 2028 premiums)
| MAGI two years earlier | Part B per person / month | Part D add-on | Extra per person / year |
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Standard Part B premium is $202.90 in 2026. Married-filing-separately uses a different table.
Quick answer 8
Would my plan have survived every retirement since 1928?
Replay your withdrawal plan through every actual market history on record: each 30-year (or other) window from 1928 to 2025, using real S&P 500 and Treasury returns and each year’s actual inflation.
Every start year
Ending balance by retirement start year
Points at zero are retirements that ran out of money before the end of the window.
Selected retirement year
Balance and income through the chosen retirement
See every historical window
| Window | Lasted | Lowest real income | Ending (today’s $) | Return | Inflation |
|---|
See the year-by-year path for the selected start year
| Year | Return | Inflation | Opening | Withdrawal | In today’s $ | Ending | Note |
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Quick answer 9
Am I on track for retirement?
Compare what you have saved with a common age-based guidepost, then project your savings to retirement and test them against the income you will actually need after Social Security.
Nominal dollars
Projected savings versus the age guidepost
See the year-by-year projection
| Age | Pay | Savings | Multiple | Guidepost |
|---|
Quick answer 10
Should I take the pension or the lump sum?
Put both offers on the same footing: the present value of the monthly checks, the return the lump sum must beat, and what happens if you invest the lump sum and pay yourself the pension.
Nominal dollars
Investing the lump sum and paying yourself the pension
If the invested lump sum stays above zero through your planning age, the lump sum would have matched every pension check with money left over at that return.
See the year-by-year comparison
| Age | Pension paid | In today’s $ | Cumulative pension | Lump sum remaining |
|---|
Detailed household model
Will the complete retirement plan work?
Use this tab when the quick calculators are not enough. It coordinates account types, contributions, taxes, RMDs, healthcare, pensions, events, two lifetimes, and Monte Carlo market paths.
1 Household and timelineWho is planning, when work stops, and how long the plan runs.
2 Retirement spendingCore spending, healthcare, inflation, and later-life changes.
4 Investment accountsTotal returns, contributions, fees, taxes, access ages, and withdrawal order.
5 Other incomePensions, annuities, rent, work, and survivor continuation.
6 One-time eventsHome repairs, gifts, inheritances, long-term care, or other large cash flows.
7 Taxes, RMDs, and simulationEffective-rate tax approximations (not a bracket calculation), RMD handling, and the definition of plan success.
Question 1 · whole household
Will the plan last?
The answer combines retirement spending, Social Security, other income, taxes, account access, withdrawals, RMDs, longevity, and market uncertainty.
Effective-rate tax projection. Taxes here are the flat effective rates you set per account, not a 2026 bracket calculation; use the Roth tab for that.
The main picture
Portfolio balance and uncertainty
What to consider next
The assumptions driving the answer
Open household cash flow and annual audit trailSee what pays for spending and inspect every modeled year.
Methodology, rules, and limitations
The engine runs month by month. Cash inflows, one-time events, spending, and withdrawals occur before investment returns, so money spent does not earn that month’s return. Account return inputs are nominal total returns; dividends are not added separately. Legacy targets are entered in today’s dollars and inflated to the plan end date for the success test.
Social Security uses statutory retirement reductions, delayed retirement credits through age 70, modern deemed-filing treatment, an own-benefit-first spousal excess, separate retirement and survivor full-retirement-age schedules, and a simplified survivor transition. It is not an SSA benefit estimate and does not cover every exception, including child-in-care benefits, family maximums, detailed widow(er)’s-limit rules, disability, divorced-spouse eligibility, or the January 1 birthday exception.
The quick tax and Roth tab uses 2026 federal parameters: brackets, the standard deduction with its age-65 addition, the 2025–2028 senior deduction and phase-out, IRC §86 Social Security taxation, stacked qualified-income rates, the net investment income tax, and 2026 IRMAA tiers. The RMD tab uses the SECURE 2.0 start ages and the Uniform Lifetime Table. The withdrawal-strategy tab applies withdrawals at the start of each year on the chosen return sequence.
The historical backtest and the historical option on the withdrawal tab use annual S&P 500, 10-year Treasury, and 3-month T-bill total returns for 1928–2025 from Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern) and CPI-U inflation from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis / BLS, rebalanced yearly with the entered fee deducted. The savings benchmark and pension comparison use the single return you enter every year.
Taxes are user-set effective rates, not a tax return. RMDs use the IRS Uniform Lifetime Table, can be enabled per tax-deferred account, and deposit unused after-tax distributions into cash or taxable savings. The model spreads annual RMDs across modeled months, does not use the first-year April 1 deferral, and assumes individually owned retirement accounts roll to a surviving spouse. Monte Carlo uses lognormal returns with correlated asset-class factors; it does not predict markets.
Question 2 · early-retirement bridge
Can savings carry you to Social Security?
This view tests every whole-year claiming combination from 62 through 70 and reruns the full household cash flow for each choice.
Choose what “best” means
Optimization goal
Savings-to-income handoff
Portfolio through retirement and claiming
Decision support
Best modeled claiming choices
Open bridge funding details and ranked scenariosSee what funds each year and compare all 9 or 81 whole-year strategies.
Question 4 · one investment
How will this account grow—and how long will it last?
Choose a household-path view or isolate the account with its own contribution, return, fee, and withdrawal assumptions.
Choose an account and view
Projection settings
Selected account
Balance over time
Open annual growth, withdrawals, and account audit trailSeparate contributions, investment growth, withdrawals, and RMDs year by year.
Glossary of terms used on this page
- PIA / benefit at FRA
- Primary insurance amount: the monthly Social Security benefit payable at full retirement age. Your SSA statement shows it.
- FRA
- Full retirement age — 67 for people born in 1960 or later; between 66 and 67 for 1955–1959 birth years. Survivor FRA follows a separate schedule.
- COLA
- Cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security each January.
- Earnings test
- Before FRA, Social Security withholds $1 for every $2 earned above an annual limit ($24,480 in 2026). Withheld months raise the benefit at FRA.
- RMD
- Required minimum distribution from tax-deferred accounts, starting at 73 (born 1951–1959) or 75 (born 1960 or later).
- QCD
- Qualified charitable distribution: a gift straight from an IRA that counts toward the RMD without being taxed (up to $111,000 per person in 2026).
- MAGI
- Modified adjusted gross income. For Medicare it is AGI plus tax-exempt interest; it sets IRMAA two years later.
- IRMAA
- Income-related monthly adjustment amount: higher Medicare Part B and D premiums for people whose MAGI two years earlier exceeded $109,000 (single) or $218,000 (joint).
- NIIT
- 3.8% net investment income tax on investment income when MAGI exceeds $200,000 (single) or $250,000 (joint).
- Tax torpedo
- The zone where each extra dollar of income also makes more Social Security taxable, producing a marginal rate well above the bracket.
- Guardrails
- A withdrawal rule that raises spending with inflation but cuts it when the withdrawal rate drifts too high and raises it when the rate drifts low.
- Sequence risk
- Poor returns early in retirement do more damage than the same returns later, because withdrawals are taken from a depleted balance.
- Monte Carlo
- Many simulated market paths drawn from a statistical model; the success rate is a rate within that model, not a real-world probability.
- Backtest
- Replaying a plan through actual past market returns and inflation, one start year at a time. Shows what would have happened, not a probability of what will.
- Present value
- What a stream of future payments is worth today at a chosen discount rate. Used to compare a pension with a lump sum.
- IRR (internal rate of return)
- The single yearly return that makes a set of payments exactly equal to an amount today. For a pension, it is the return the lump sum would need to earn to match the checks.
- Savings multiple
- Retirement savings divided by annual pay. Age-based guideposts (1× at 30, 3× at 40, 6× at 50, 8× at 60, 10× at 67) are a rule of thumb, not a personal target.
Question 3 · coordinated claiming
When should each person claim Social Security?
Compare separate retirement-benefit ages, lifetime benefits, spouse top-ups, and the survivor-income effect without treating the 50% spouse rule as a second full check.
Monthly retirement benefit
How each own benefit changes from 62 to 70
Different goals can produce different ages
Modeled choices by objective
Open the full claiming comparisonSee the selected strategy and the highest projected lifetime-benefit combinations.
Social Security coordination
Claiming-age comparison
The lifetime-benefit ranking uses the entered longevity, COLA, survivor, and benefit-cut assumptions. It is not automatically the best tax or portfolio strategy.
Top whole-year combinations
Lifetime and survivor comparison